No matter which
political party comes to power, Goans must hope that the winning party will
serve its goal in giving good governance to the people. If the Bharatiya Janata
Party (BJP) bounces back to rule Goa, it will not necessarily mean that the
people have reposed their faith in the party.
It could be that BJP squeezed through because the non-BJP votes were
divided among the other parties and independents. Overall, the BJP has failed
on its promise of good governance. It’s unlikely any party will get the
required two-third majority and, perceptively, will have to seek alliances.
Prior to the elections, there was a
mad rush to form mahagathbandhan
between some parties, particularly a tie-up between Indian National Congress
(INC) and Goa Forward Party (GFP), the latter which came about from Congress dissenter,
Vijai Sardesai. It never happened because of several barriers, and the Congress
went ahead and fielded a candidate in Fatorda. In this fracas, the BJP
candidate, Damodar (Damu) Naik, could come up trumps.
The GFP was born out of “revenge
politics”. In avenging the denial of ticket by the Congress in the 2012
elections, Sardesai rode the sympathy wave to defeat Damu. Though he performed
well in the assembly, Sardesai’s harping on the vague concept of Goenkarponn may not solely win him
votes, though it may have won him accolades. This time should be a close-call
for either one, as Damu has been Fatorda’s representative for three times.
One may never know what provoked
Congress to take on the two warhorses. It’s hard to believe that BJP and
Congress stuck a deal to derail Sardesai’s chances. Did Parrikar and Faleiro sat in each other’s
laps? Maybe there were wheels within wheels. As everyone knows, politics makes
strange bedfellows.
Think of what has happened in
Panaji, where Congress has not fielded a candidate but supports Atanasio J.
Monserrate, who was expelled from the Congress, and formed United Goans Party
(UGP) when his overtures to the United Goans Democratic Party (UDGP) weren’t
entertained. Shockingly, his wife, Jennifer Monserrate, is seeking re-election
from Taleigao on the same Congress ticket. It throws up the question if
Atanasio (Babush) will be re-admitted into the Congress if he wins the coveted
Panaji seat, which is counted as a formidable BJP stronghold.
The BJP incumbent in Panaji,
Sidharth Sripad Kuncalienker, is in the fray but his
prospects of pulling off a victory over both Monserrate and Ketan Bhatlikar, the latter fielded by Goa Suraksha Manch (GSM), a party floated by expelled RSS boss, Prof. Subhash Velingkar. Kuncaliker won the bye-poll as he was Parrikar’s staffer before Parrrikar was summoned to Delhi. Isn’t there a special friendship between Babush and Parrikar? What seems the gameplay here? BJP boss, Amit Shah, has hinted that Parrikar will manage Goa, and this either could be by remote-control or physically moving to take up charge of government if BJP captures Goa again.
prospects of pulling off a victory over both Monserrate and Ketan Bhatlikar, the latter fielded by Goa Suraksha Manch (GSM), a party floated by expelled RSS boss, Prof. Subhash Velingkar. Kuncaliker won the bye-poll as he was Parrikar’s staffer before Parrrikar was summoned to Delhi. Isn’t there a special friendship between Babush and Parrikar? What seems the gameplay here? BJP boss, Amit Shah, has hinted that Parrikar will manage Goa, and this either could be by remote-control or physically moving to take up charge of government if BJP captures Goa again.
The Monserrates are straddling two
stools, and it seems Atanasio has also kept his previous constituency, Santa
Cruz, safe by getting his friend, Antonio (Tony) Caetano Fernandes, to run on
the Congress ticket. There’s no doubt that Atanasio is a king-maker and his writ
runs in the triangle of these three constituencies because of his muscle and
money power. More than any diligent work for the people, Atanasio has a track
record for amassing ill-gotten wealth and a long list of police records for
nefarious activities. Atanasio’s rise in
politics runs parallel to another strongman, Churchill Alemao who, however, has
longer years in the corridors of power. Now trying his luck in Benaulim, where
his daughter, Valanka, was beaten by Caetano (Caitu) Silva, Churchill is a never-say-die
fighter in Goan politics. Denied a Congress ticket for serving jail in the
Louis Berger bribery case, Churchill is trying his luck on a Nationalist
Congress Party (NCP) ticket.
Remember, Churchill embraced the
Tirnamool Congress (TMC) party for his unsuccessful parliamentary run at the
behest of the late Dr. Wifred D’Souza. With Silva having got a recent boost
with the Union Home Ministry declaring him an Indian citizen, as the sword was
hanging over his head since his astounding win in the last elections, following
which a case was filed on his national status, he could have gained in stature
as the saviour of thousands of Goans who have their births registered in
Lisbon. Caitu can feel assured that his citizenship victory, can translate into
bring him back to the assembly. This part of Salcete has seen has seen a lot of
exodus out of Goa on Portuguese passports.
Whatever the hidden agenda between
the two kumpars, Churchill has
conceded Navelim to Luizinho Faleiro, who was soundly defeated by Churchill in
what is one of the greatest and best wrestle-mania-type fight between the two.
So much so, Luizinho abandoned Goa for long and stayed aloof from Goan
politics. When it seemed Luizinho has given up his assembly ambitions, he’s
back in the thick of the electoral arena on the lame excuse that friends wanted
him to contest again.
In the new chapter of their
relationship, it suits Churchill to move away from his nemesis, Avertano
Feranandes, who inflicted humiliating defeat on the former CM, and leave
Luizinho to his former stomping ground. A win is crucial for Luizinho to
re-ignite his political future. If Congress wins, and if both Digamber and
Luizinho come back roaring, one can expect a tug-of-war for the chief
ministership.
Eugene Correia is a senior journalist. |
I have avoided Aam Aadmi Party
(AAP), as it’s a new player in Goan politics. However, the party can’t be ruled
out to make an impact in the electoral politics. One cannot brush aside its
victory in Delhi over favourites Congress and the BJP. The party is also making
waves in Punjab. If the party bags a few seats, it can play the role of a
broker. The post-poll scenario is likely to be as messy as the pre-election
scenario was. If I have to make a political forecast, March 11 will spring a
mixed-bag of surprises.